SERCO GROUP PLC LS-02 (SEO.DE): What Are the Charts Indicating?


The Money Flow Index of SERCO GROUP PLC LS-02 (SEO.DE) this week has place the shares on the radar as it nears the key 20 or 30 level.  At the time of writing the MFI is dropping below 30 and trending lower for the name.  The Money Flow Index creates a ratio of Positive Money Flow and Negative Money Flow over time and scales it to a number between 0 and 100. The MFI value can be used to evaluate overbought and oversold conditions in a security the index moves above or below a certain reference level. Divergence between MFI and the price direction can also be indicative of a reversal. If price is trending higher and MFI is decreasing over that period, a market top may occur.

Investors may be trying to figure out how long the stock market bull run will continue. There are plenty of commentators who think that a downturn is coming soon, but there are plenty who believe that the market still has plenty of room to push higher. Preparing the portfolio for any market scenario can help ease the investor’s mind. Putting in the time to research investments as well as global economic data might help keep focus clear when things get cloudy. Closing in on the end of the year, investors may be conducting year-end portfolio reviews. Figuring out what has worked and what adjustments can be made may help iron out the wrinkles heading into the next few quarters.

Taking a deeper look into the technicals, SERCO GROUP PLC LS-02 (SEO.DE) currently has a 50-day Moving Average of 1.17, the 200-day Moving Average is 1.10, and the 7-day is noted at 1.27. Following moving averages with different time frames may help offer a wide variety of stock information. A longer average like the 200-day may serve as a smoothing tool when striving to evaluate longer term trends. On the flip side, a shorter MA like the 50-day may help with identifying shorter term trading signals. Moving averages may also function well as a tool for determining support and resistance levels.

Traders may be relying in part on technical stock analysis. SERCO GROUP PLC LS-02 (SEO.DE) currently has a 14-day Commodity Channel Index (CCI) of 9.72. Despite the name, CCI can be used on other investment tools such as stocks. The CCI was designed to typically stay within the reading of -100 to +100. Traders may use the indicator to determine stock trends or to identify overbought/oversold conditions. A CCI reading above +100 would imply that the stock is overbought and possibly ready for a correction. On the other hand, a reading of -100 would imply that the stock is oversold and possibly set for a rally.

At the time of writing, the 14-day ADX for SERCO GROUP PLC LS-02 (SEO.DE) is 25.92. Many technical chart analysts believe that an ADX value over 25 would suggest a strong trend. A reading under 20 would indicate no trend, and a reading from 20-25 would suggest that there is no clear trend signal. The ADX is typically plotted along with two other directional movement indicator lines, the Plus Directional Indicator (+DI) and Minus Directional Indicator (-DI). Some analysts believe that the ADX is one of the best trend strength indicators available.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is one of multiple popular technical indicators created by J. Welles Wilder. Wilder introduced RSI in his book “New Concepts in Technical Trading Systems” which was published in 1978. RSI measures the magnitude and velocity of directional price movements. The data is represented graphically by fluctuating between a value of 0 and 100. The indicator is computed by using the average losses and gains of a stock over a certain time period. RSI can be used to help spot overbought or oversold conditions. An RSI reading over 70 would be considered overbought, and a reading under 30 would indicate oversold conditions. A level of 50 would indicate neutral market momentum. The 14-day RSI is currently sitting at 53.91, the 7-day is at 49.82, and the 3-day is spotted at 44.86.

Traders may be scanning through the playbook while trying to come up with some new ideas. Technical analysts may be setting up the charts to help spot the next big trade. Because there are so many different angles to take when approaching the stock market, traders may want to start with a simpler system before diving into deeper waters. Figuring out the proper approach may take some added time and dedication.



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